Garth McVicar has written an opinion piece in the NZ Herald on crime and prisons in New Zealand.
The saying, "We reap what we sow", highlights the farming experience that if you don't work in partnership with nature, you get a dud crop. It comes to mind when I think about the latest twist in the crime and punishment debate; the number of people in prisons. The focus on the product of crime, prisoners and victims, gives little attention to the root causes of the problem. That is to say, we are worried by what we're reaping and not enough by what we're sowing.Violent crime rates are dropping substantially in New Zealand. Prison numbers are rising. McVicar argues that there is a causal connection between these two hard statistical measures. In other words, the reason violent crime statistics are reducing is due to violent offenders being kept longer in prison.
Minister of Justice Andrew Little wants to find ways to reduce the prison population. Essentially, this will be achieved by softening bail legislation and making parole easier to get. The result will be more offenders on the streets. The streets will become more dangerous and public safety will suffer as a consequence.
The inconvenient truth about high prison rates is that crime has fallen. New Zealand's homicides peaked at 176 a year but have now declined to around 80 per year and are still falling. As New Zealand locked up its criminals for longer, the terrible crimes that resulted in the formation of the Sensible Sentencing Trust, such as those against Teresa Cormack, Kylie Smith and Karla Cardno, have declined. But locking people up is a response to criminals, not the complete answer to preventing the creation of criminals.
The extremely liberal Labour Government finds this offensive. Labour denies McVicar's causal link. Its position appears to be this: when it reduces prison numbers as it plans to do, it will have no effect on the incidence of violent crime in New Zealand. Rather, Labour's position appears to be that reducing prison numbers will create a virtuous circle whereby reducing the number of people in prisons will actually reduce criminal offending in New Zealand.
That is an extremely bold position to hold. But there it is. Labour in all its glory.
Actually, in order to get to Labour's naive position, they have to add in a couple of suppressed, or hidden, premises. Their whole case turns upon these not-so-often-talked-about beliefs.
